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The final trading day of 2024 on the U.Sstock market saw a slight decline, but the overall trends throughout the year painted a different picture of optimism and growthThis year marked a significant shift as major central banks around the globe began entering a cycle of interest rate cutsThis monetary flexibility, combined with an explosion of interest and investment in artificial intelligence, created a strong tailwind for the markets, allowing the three primary stock indices—the Dow Jones, the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ—to achieve remarkable annual gains for a consecutive second yearThe Dow Jones finished the year up by an impressive 12.9%, while the S&P 500 soared by an astonishing 23.3%, reflecting the largest two-year increase since the crash of the dot-com bubble in 1997-1998. The NASDAQ led the charge with a climb of 28.6%, consistently breaking historical highs throughout the year
Small-cap stocks, as represented by the Russell 2000 index, achieved a respectable 10% increase.
The surge in technology stocks was significantly driven by the AI boomThe so-called "Magnificent Seven" companies, including giants like Apple and Nvidia, reached new heights, with Apple notably rising 30.7% and Nvidia astonishingly climbing 171.3%. These growth figures are indicative of a broader trend where technology is no longer seen merely as a component of the economy but has become a fundamental driver of growth and innovation across multiple sectors.
As trading concluded on the last day of the year, the numbers reflected the day's tempered sentimentThe Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 29.51 points, or 0.07%, closing at 42,544.22. The NASDAQ dipped 175.99 points, or 0.90%, ending at 19,310.79. The S&P 500 similarly decreased by 25.31 points, or 0.43%, finishing at 5,881.63. Interestingly, some stocks moved against this trend, such as U.S
Steel, which saw a surprising rise of 9.6%, while Faraday Future struggled with a drop of 22.6%. Prominent tech stocks faced pullbacks as well, with Nvidia declining 2.3%, Tesla retreating by 3.3%, and Apple slipping 0.7%. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index managed a modest gain of 0.4%.
In Europe, market movements had a different tone with the UK's FTSE 100 rising by 0.64%, the French CAC40 increasing by 0.92%, while the broader Europe Stoxx 50 index edged down by 0.06%. These numbers suggest a complex interplay of economic factors at work on the continent, reflecting local concerns and investor sentiment.
The cryptocurrency market exhibited relative stability on the final trading day of the yearBitcoin, generally regarded as the barometer of the crypto market, traded closely at $93,339, with Ethereum easing back by 0.94%, settling at $3,327. 2024 was a remarkable year for cryptocurrencies, with the total market capitalization nearing $4 trillion, showcasing significant interest from institutional and retail investors alike
Bitcoin notably surged 121% throughout the year, driven by events like "halving" and the approval of spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum in the U.SThis heightened interest led to Bitcoin breaking multiple psychological barriers—first touching $80,000, then $90,000, and eventually reaching a peak of $108,353 before slightly retreating.
Similarly, Ethereum experienced a robust year, witnessing a 45.6% increase in valueThis cryptocurrency market performance reinforces the thesis that digital currencies are increasingly becoming a mainstream asset class, captivating both seasoned investors and newcomers alike.
Turning to the precious metal market, gold showed resilience, with spot prices inching up by $3.03 to close at $2,608.65 per ounceThis year concluded as gold's best annual performance since 2010, seeing a cumulative rise of approximately 27% from the beginning of the year
Analysts project that the factors supporting gold prices are likely to persist into 2025. Nonetheless, potential challenges from U.Smonetary policy, which might stimulate inflation, could impede further upward movement.
Oil markets also concluded the year on a positive note with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for February delivery gaining 73 cents, or 1.03%, closing at $71.72 per barrelSimilarly, Brent crude futures increased by 65 cents, ending the year at $74.64 per barrel—up 0.88% on the last trading dayThis indicates a continued rebound in oil prices driven by increasing demand amid recovering global economic conditions.
Amidst these proceedings, critical macroeconomic news also emergedThe Federal Reserve's reverse repo mechanism attracted a striking inflow of $473.5 billion, marking the largest influx since early summerThis surge underscores how cash flows typically increase at the end of quarters and fiscal years, particularly as businesses and funds adjust their balance sheets
On the final trading day of the year alone, cash inflows to the Fed's reverse repo facility were at their highest levels since the last day of the second quarter.
In terms of wealth concentration, Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg emerged as dominant figures as their accumulated wealth helped push the total net worth of the top 500 global billionaires past a staggering $10 trillion mark in 2024. This milestone was underpinned by the relentless rise of U.Stech stocks, which significantly contributed to their extraordinary capital gainsEach of these tech titans saw their fortunes surge, with Musk's wealth ballooning to an unprecedented $442.1 billion—an increase of $213 billion from the start of the year—driven largely by the soaring valuations of his businesses.
Amid this backdrop of rising fortunes, the U.Salso achieved a historical record in October for oil production
Data from the U.SEnergy Information Administration (EIA) revealed that oil output jumped by 260,000 barrels per day from September, reaching an unprecedented 13.46 million barrels per dayThis surge was propelled by increased demand, reflecting the post-pandemic recovery phaseComparatively, the year-on-year increase stood at 2.3%, showcasing a broad recovery trend that is critical for the nation's energy sector.
Overall, 2024 has been a watershed year for equity and commodity markets, characterized by spectacular gains in tech and cryptocurrency realms alongside robust performances in traditional sectors like oil and goldAs we move into 2025, the outlook remains optimistic with the potential for further growth, innovation, and shifts in the geopolitical and economic landscape, indicating that while the financial narrative of 2024 has closed, new and exciting chapters are on the horizon.
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